Thursday, 7 April 2016

We Underestimate Tesla


Tesla Model 3
Kyle Field/CleanTechnica

VOICES

Last week, Tesla pre-sold 300,000 Model 3 cars in less than 72 hours.
That means the company received $300 million in deposits, worth more than $12 billion in preorders, in less than three days. The car won’t even be delivered for 18 months! For Apple to get the same amount of preorder revenue would require 20 million iPhones to be ordered in 72 hours. That’s incredible.
Even considering this, people underestimate Tesla. The reason is because people are still only talking about the cars  –  not the entire mission.
Tesla is accelerating the shift toward sustainable transport and energy consumption by producing the world’s best electric cars and energy storage systems. – Tesla mission statement
The Model 3 is the manifestation of the “world’s best electric cars” part of the mission. However, there is more to “accelerating the shift toward sustainable transport” than just the manufacture of vehicles. The cars also need to be charged after being driven. This is a big challenge and an important undertaking.
For perspective, $400 billion a year is spent on gasoline in the U.S. to keep our cars fed. Even once the Model 3 comes out, one of the most compelling reasons to keep buying a gas car is the dense, already existing network of gas stations.
Tesla is conscious of this challenge and has been working to solve it with two different approaches. The first is the Supercharger Network, which is an international network of rapid charging stations. Even though Tesla cars have a 200+ mile range, that’s not good enough for long road trips. The Superchargers provide free, rapid charging that is accessible from any major highway.
Superchargers now:
Tesla Supercharger map
Tesla
Superchargers expected by the end of 2016:
Tesla Supercharges projected for 2016
Tesla
Looking at the map of Superchargers, you can see that Tesla is clearly investing here.
Tesla’s second approach is by making it easier to charge the car at home with the TeslaPowerwall. Introduced last year, the Powerwall is effectively a home battery. While full-scale production won’t start till 2017, and Tesla is already working on a new version, expect it to be able to rapidly charge a connected Tesla car. More importantly, expect the Powerwall to whittle away at the reasons not to own an electric car.
Looking at the top-left corner of Tesla’s website, where it lists its products, you can see the importance the company places on Supercharger and Powerwall — they are on the same line as the Model S and Model 3.
Tesla lineup
Tesla
Today the Powerwall and Supercharger network support the sale of Tesla cars. Tomorrow, we may see them feeding electric cars beyond Tesla: BMWs, Toyotas, Ubers, Chevy Bolts and others. The same way Amazon has turned its fulfillment centers into a revenue generator, Tesla could turn the Powerwall and Supercharger into a profit center by selling access to other car companies.
The future Tesla makes millions of premium electric cars, improves them with over-the-air updates, provides the equipment for charging electric cars at home and operates the stations for “fueling” them when out. To value that company, you need to think about BMW’s business (making cars) and Exxon Mobil’s downstream business (selling gas)  —  it’s massive.
(Full disclosure: As a longtime Tesla believer, I bought stock during the IPO, and recently bought more.)

Preet Anand is the CEO of BlueLight, a company focused on bringing 911 and personal safety into the digital age. BlueLight is used by people nationwide, and was featured in the White House’s Smarter Cities initiative in September 2015. Previously, Anand was the youngest lead product manager in Zynga’s history; he graduated from Santa Clara University with a degree in engineering physics. Reach him @preetnation.

The Smart Bots Are Coming, and This One Is Brilliant


20160407-amy-bot-digital-assistant
The Verge

MOBILE

Last week I hired a personal assistant named Amy Ingram. She set up four meetings for me, adding them to my calendar with the relevant contact details included. She rescheduled twice when the person I was supposed to meet had to cancel at the last minute. Instead of sending half a dozen emails per meeting, I only needed to compose one to kick things off.
This all sounds like pretty simple stuff, but Amy isn’t a human being: It’s a virtual assistant made by the New York City startup X.ai. Today the company announced a $23 million round of funding it will use to accelerate its development.
Amy exemplifies a new frontier in personal computing: the conversational smart bot. “There is a paradigm shift about to happen in how software is being delivered,” said Dennis Mortensen, the founder and CEO of X.ai.

Google’s Fridge Joke (Comic)


SHARE:
Joy of Tech fridge

Former HP Printer Boss Vyomesh Joshi on His Plans to Reshape 3D Systems


20160404 3dsystems-parts
3DSystems

GENERAL

Aiming to continue its turnaround effort, 3-D printer maker 3D Systems on Monday named one of the biggest names in traditional printing as its chief executive.
Vyomesh Joshi led Hewlett-Packard’s printing unit and other operations during a 31-year tenure at the tech giant that ended with his 2012 exit. Joshi takes over after 3D Systemsousted CEO Avi Reichental in October.
Joshi
3D SystemsJoshi
In an interview, Joshi said he is looking to fix product quality and operational issues at the company as well as make sure that 3D Systems is ready to lead as three-dimensional printing evolves beyond prototypes and moves into making goods suitable for real-world use, an area focused on by rival Carbon, which started shipping its M1 printer last week.
Joshi said he sees great potential in specific markets, including the health care, aerospace and automotive industries. But businesses in those areas don’t just want a product, they want to know they can keep the machines up and running 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
“We have to look at our services approach to B2B (business-to-business) and make sure we excel there,” Joshi said. “That’s the work we will be doing.”
Joshi said the past four years he has spent advising startups and serving on various boards will come in handy in the new role.
“I really learned a lot about big data, robotics, augmented reality and all kinds of stuff,” he said. “Then this opportunity came and I said wow, this is perfect.”
Joshi has plenty of work ahead. Beyond improving the company’s reputation for quality, Joshi said the 2,500-employee company has a fragmented culture as a result of many, many acquisitions.
“They acquired all these companies but now they have different cultures,” Joshi said.

Tesla deliveries of its luxury cars fell short in Q1, and that could mean it has to change how it builds the Model 3


Tesla announced late Monday afternoon that the company had delivered a total of 14,820 Model S and Model X vehicles in the first three months of 2016 — 1,180 fewer cars than the company expected.
The company attributed the delivery delays to Model X supplier shortages and “Tesla’s hubris in adding far too much new technology in the Model X.” While it expects to meet its goal of delivering 80,000 to 90,000 vehicles by the end of the year, investors weren’t buying Musk’s humble-brag and sent the stock down 2 percent in after-hours trading.
Tesla has no plans to change its production or distribution plans for the Model X and Model S this year given the company is back on track, but its forthcoming Model 3, a lower-priced vehicle aimed at the mass market, might require the company to reassess its production strategy.
Tesla took 276,000 preorders for the Model 3 by the end of Saturday — just two days after Tesla CEO Elon Musk unveiled the company’s first mass-market car. Even when preorders were just at 198,000, Musk suggested the company will have to change how it plans to build the car:
At the unveiling last Thursday, Musk said he was confident the company will be able to begin shipping the Model 3 by the end of 2017 as planned. But it’s the first time the company has had to produce and distribute a vehicle at this volume. Tesla’s luxury vehicles — the Roadster, the Model S and the Model X — have all been low-volume businesses and intentionally so.
The company is still susceptible to production and distribution hiccups, and at a larger scale, those hiccups — particularly supplier shortages or company “hubris” — would likely cause a lag that would cause a bigger difference between expected deliveries and actual deliveries.
In its statement, Tesla said it planned to address all three root causes — the last of which was not having the capability to build the parts in-house — so that “these mistakes are not repeated with the Model 3 launch.”
The company can still suffer from additional and unforeseen issues even if and when Tesla addresses those that caused this quarter’s delivery delays. Switching third-party suppliers, for example, would still leave Tesla’s production rate at the mercy of those suppliers. And the company has already unveiled — at least in part — the technology the Model 3 will include so if the company again bit off more than it could chew in terms of the technology, the damage has already been done.
If, say, the company chooses to move the bulk of operations in-house to address a supplier shortage, Tesla would have to first make sure it had the internal capability and infrastructure to support this additional burden. Already, the company has to producemore lithium batteries than the entire world combined currently manufactures in order to meet its goal of producing 500,000 cars a year by 2020. Producing more of the parts in-house would require pouring considerable resources and time into expanding its robot-powered factory, which Tesla already stopped production to do in July 2014.
The company plans to get its Nevada-based battery factory running and it’s expected to reveal additional details on its revamped plans for the Model 3 as the company nears production.
Musk has also promised a second act to the Model 3 unveiling, though it’s unclear whether that will have implications for production plans.
Though the company fell short of its vehicle production goal this quarter, Tesla is confident it will stay on track to deliver on its promises for both 2016 and 2017. Musk seems to have a plan — but investors are closely watching to see whether it will be enough to ensure the company can efficiently produce and distribute its mass-market vehicle.

After 10 Years, Amazon’s Cloud Service Is a $10 Billion Business


Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos during the D6 Conference
Asa Mathat
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos during the D6 Conference

ENTERPRISE

Amazon’s cloud computing business is bigger after 10 years of operation than Amazon itself at the same milestone, and is on its way to being a $10 billion annual business this year, CEO Jeff Bezos wrote in a letter to shareholders today.
Amazon Web Services “is bigger than Amazon.com was at 10 years old, growing at a faster rate, and — most noteworthy in my view — the pace of innovation continues to accelerate,” Bezos wrote, adding that the unit added 722 new features in 2015, which amounted to a 40 percent increase over the prior year.
Last month AWS observed its 10th year of operations, and was the bright spot in an otherwise disappointing fourth-quarter report in January. The unit clocked $7.9 billion in revenue in 2015, amounting to more than 7 percent of Amazon’s overall sales, with an operating margin of 24 percent.
“Many characterized AWS as a bold — and unusual — bet when we started,” Bezos wrote. “We could have stuck to the knitting. I’m glad we didn’t.”

Alibaba’s Top International Communications Executive Departs to Start a New Firm


Dan Bigelow

COMMERCE

Jim Wilkinson, Alibaba’s high-profile SVP for international corporate affairs, is leaving the company after just two years. The exec, who helped the Chinese e-commerce giant as it went public in the U.S., will be launching a new international communications firm in two months, after transitioning his job to another top Alibaba comms exec Jennifer Kuperman. Alibaba will be one of Wilkinson’s key first clients at the new venture, which will help international companies in growth markets around the globe, especially in China.
“Alibaba is a family that I can’t imagine not being part of, and our work together is only beginning,” said Wilkinson. “I’m deeply grateful for their support for this new entrepreneurial venture.”
Wilkinson, a former PepsiCo exec, came to Alibaba as it sought to have a stronger image in the U.S., critical to its public offering, and built out a team of execs here and in China. One of his assets to Alibaba was his deep political background, including at the State Department, U.S. Treasury and the White House in the administration of former President George W. Bush.
Alibaba’s relationship with Wall Street and U.S. regulators has indeed gone smoothly, despite what have become worrisome economic issues in the China market since Alibabas IPO in the fall of 2014. Its shares are down about 16 percent since then.